The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

800px-governors_by_party

Wisconsin

wisconsin-stampIncumbent: Scott Walker (R)

Primary Election: September 14, 2010
General Election: November 2, 2010

STATUS: OPEN SEAT
RATING: Lean Democratic Retention

RECENT ELECTION RESULTS:
2002 Result: Doyle wins 45%-41%.
2006 Result:
Doyle wins 53%-45%

Wisconsin Gubernatorial Race: Headlines

Democrats:
Tom Barrett

Republicans:
Mark Neumann       Web Site twitter YouTube facebook
Scott Walker Web Site twitter facebook

Local Media/blogs:
Uppity Wisconsin (progressive)
Cognitive Dissidence
WisPolitics.com

State Resources:
Wisconsin Elections Division

Pollwatch:
Marquette Law: Walker holds slim early leads over potential Dem challengers (10/28/13)
Marquette Law: Walker job approval under 50% (7/18/13)
Rasmussen: Walker job approval number continues to improve, 53-46% (11/2/12)
Rasmussen: Walker job approval number hovers at fifty- 51-47% (10/22/12)
Rasmussen: Walker job approval rating remains strong, 53-46% (10/12/12)
Rasmussen: Walker’s job approval among voters rises dramatically, 57-43% (8/17/12)
Rasmussen: Voters evenly split over Walker’s job performance, 49-48% (7/28/12)
Rasmussen: 53% in Wisconsin now approve of Walker’s job performance (6/16/12)
Public Policy Polling: Walker leads Barrett by 3 points (6/3/12)
Marquette: Walker leads recall over Barrett, 52-45% (5/26/12)
Mellman (DGA): Barrett is within 3 points of Walker, who is under critical 50% mark (5/25/12)
Reason Foundation: Walker holds 8-point lead over Barrett, 50-42% (5/24/12)
Rasmussen: Recall election: Walker 50%, Barrett 45% (5/10/12)
Marquette: Barrett leads Falk in recall primary 38-21%, Barrett, Walker virtually tied (5/2/12)
Public Policy Polling: Walker leads all rivals, but sits at 50% (4/15/12)
Rasmussen: 52% in Wisconsin support recall of Gov. Walker (4/2/12)
Rasmussen: 54% in Wisconsin oppose recall of GOP Gov. Walker (2/29/12)
Marquette U Law School: Walker holds narrow leads over 4 potential recall opponents (1/25/12)
WPRI: Wisconsin voters evenly divided on recalling Walker – 47% support, 49% oppose (10/30/11)
Rasmussen: Walker’s approval numbers edge up slightly (10/29/11)
Badger Poll: 59% of voters disapprove Walkers job performance (7/13/11)
Public Policy Polling: Walker’s job approval numbers down to 43-53%, would lose to Feingold or Barrett in a recall (5/25/11)
Etheridge & Associates: Walker recall may have implications for 2012 federal elections (4/23/11)
Wisconsin Survey/St. Norbert: Public evenly split on supporting recalls of governor and state senators (4/18/11)
Rasmussen: 48% of WI voters want public employee pension increases approved by voters (3/9/11)
Wisconsin Policy Research Inst: Highly polarized Wisconsinites split over Walker plan (3/6/11)
Public Policy Polling: Walker would lose rematch with Barrett (3/1/11)
Pew Research: More side with Wisconsin unions than governor (2/28/11)
Public Policy Polling: Voters having second thoughts about Walker; Barrett would win election today (2/28/11)
Rasmussen: 67% of US voters disapprove of legislators fleeing Wisconsin to avoid vote (2/24/11)
Rasmussen: 48% of US voters back Walker in labor dispute, 38% side with unions (2/21/11)
We Ask America: Voters opposed to Walker’s plan to strip state workers’ collective bargaining rights (2/18/11)
WPR/St. Norbert: Walker leads Barrett, 50-41% (10/15/10)
Reuters/IPSOS: Walker opens ten-point lead, 52-42% (10/12/10)
Rasmussen: Walker’s lead over Barrett grows, 51-42% (10/11/10)
Rasmussen: Walker holds lead in tight race, 50-44% (9/29/10)
Rasmussen: Walker opens general election campaign ahead, 51-43% (9/15/10)
Rasmussen: Both Republicans have narrow leads over Barrett (8/24/10)
Rasmussen: Barrett trails Walker 49-41, Neumann 45-43 (8/10/10)
Rasmussen: Barrett trails Walker 50-43; tied with Neumann (7/30/10)
Badger Poll (UW): Many undecided, but Barrett trails both GOPers (7/15/10)
Rasmussen: Barrett gains support against both GOP contenders (7/13/10)
Public Policy Polling: Walker trouncing Neumann in GOP primary, 58-19 (6/30/10)
Rasmussen: GOPers still hold slight edge (6/21/10)
Rasmussen: Barrett trails both Neumann & Walker (5/25/10)
Rasmussen: Barrett support increasing, race tight against either Republican (4/20/10)
WPR/St Norbert: GOP primary tight, Barrett far behind them in general election matchups (3/31/10)
PPP: Republicans have slight edge over Barrett (3/24/10)
Rasmussen: GOP candidates all hold slight lead over Barrett (3/16/10)
WPRI: Discontented voters point toward close races this fall (3/10/10)
Rasmussen: GOP still holds slight edge (2/23/10)
Wisconsin Policy Research Institute: Barrett, Walker early primary favorites (10/3/09)
PPP: Doyle in trouble (6/15/09)
Research 2000: Doyle ahead but low approval numbers (6/10/09)