The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

800px-governors_by_party

Virginia

virginia-stampIncumbent: Bob McDonnell (R) Term Limited

Primary Election Day: June 9, 2009
Dem Primary Results
General Election: November 3, 2009

STATUS: OPEN SEAT
RATING: Toss-Up

RECENT ELECTION RESULTS:
2001 Result: Warner wins 52%-47%.
2005 Result: Kaine wins 52%-46%.

VIRGINIA POLITICAL TRIVIA:

Since 1977, the political party that has won the presidency has, in every case, lost the Virginia governorship in the next election.

Virginia¬†Governor’s Race: Headlines

Democratic Nominee: Creigh Deeds
Web Site On Twitter On YouTube

Republican Nominee: Bob McDonnell
Web Site On Twitter On YouTube

Video of the first Deeds/McDonnell Debate, July 25th, 2009: VirginiaTalks

PollWatch:
Quinnipiac: McAuliffe has 6-point lead in close gov race; Libertarian has 8% (11/4/13)
Public Policy Polling: McAuliffe leads final poll by 7 (11/3/13)
Christopher Newport U: McAuliffe maintains 7% lead over Cuccinelli; Sarvis’ 10% mostly protest, more from GOP (11/1/13)
Rasmussen: McAuliffe leads Cuccinelli 43-36%, Sarvis at 12% (10/30/13)
Quinnipiac: McAuliffe up by 4 points in close Virginia gov race; Libertarian has 9 percent (10/30/13)
Hampton: McAuliffe leads by six points, 42-36%, Sarvis at 12% (10/30/13)
Rasmussen: McAuliffe 50%, Cuccinelli 33%, Sarvis 8% (10/22/13)
Quinnipiac: ‘Too conservative’ tag hurts Cuccinelli in Virginia, trails McAuliffe 47-39% (10/10/13)
Roanoke College: McAuliffe holds slim lead over Cuccinelli; down-ticket races also tight (10/8/13)
Mary Washington: McAliffe leads Cuccinelli 42-35 % (10/4/13)
Emerson College: McAuliffe lead shrinks to 5 points over Cuccinelli, 48-43% (10/3/13)
Rasmussen: McAuliffe leads Cuccinelli, 44-38% (9/25/13)
Washington Post-SRBI: McDonnell approval ratings sink amid ethics problems (9/24/13)
Roanoke: McAuliffe and Cuccinelli in statistical dead heat, both seen unfavorably (9/19/13)
Quinnipiac: Va. voters dislike McAuliffe less than Cuccinelli; Libertarian could be key in tight race (9/18/13)
Purple Strategies: McAuliffe leads Cuccinelli by 5 with many voters still up for grabs (9/12/13)
Rasmussen: 49% of Virginia voters now approve of McDonnell’s job performance (9/9/13)
Rasmussen: McAuliffe opens 7 pt lead over Cuccinelli, 45-38% (9/6/13)
Quinnipiac: Big gender gap as Dem holds lead in Virginia gov race (7/18/13)
Quinnipiac: Women push Gov. McDonnell’s approval to new low (7/17/13)
Roanoke College: Cuccinelli holds narrow lead over McAuliffe, but one-quarter of voters undecided (7/17/13)
Public Policy Polling: McAuliffe holds narrow lead over Cuccinelli, 41-37% (7/16/13)
Rasmussen: McAuliffe holds slim over Cuccinelli, 44-41% (6/10/13)
Rasmussen: 59% in Virginia approve of McDonell’s performance as governor (6/9/13)
Quinnipiac: McAuliffe inches ahead of Cuccinelli; holds narrow 43-38% lead (5/16/13)
NBC News/Marist: Cuccinelli holds narrow lead among likely voters 45-42% (5/8/13)
Quinnipiac: Va. voters know little about gov candidates; Cuccinelli more experienced, McAuliffe less ideological, race a dead heat (3/27/13)
McLaughlin & Associates (Bolling internal): Two-thirds of Virginians would consider voting for an independent guv candidate (2/26/13)
Quinnipiac: Two-way VA Governor’s race deadlocked; with Bolling in race, McAuliffe gains advantage (2/20/13)
Roanoke College: Cuccinelli leads McAuliffe 33-26%, 41% undecided (1/24/13)
Quinnipiac: Cuccinelli, McAuliffe tied as Virginia gov race begins (1/9/13)
Public Policy Polling: McAuliffe has early lead in VA-Gov (1/8/13)
Quinnipiac: Warner leads all comers in hypothetical 2013 run, Leads Cuccinelli 52-34%, Bolling 53-33% (11/14/12)
Rasmussen: McDonnell job approval rating still high, 57-34% (11/5/12)
Rasmussen: McDonnell maintains strong job approval rating, 55-33% (10/21/12)
Rasmussen: McDonnell job approval rating improves, 57-33% (10/15/12)
Rasmussen: McDonnell’s job approval rating slips, 51-36% (10/5/12)
Rasmussen: McDonnell’s job approval rating sky high, 59-35% (9/17/12)
Rasmussen: Bob McDonnell’s job approval rating remains strong, 56-36% (8/24/12)
Rasmussen: 60% of Virginia voters approve of Bob McDonnell’s job performance (7/19/12)
Washington Post: McDonnell’s job approval numbers slip, 56-35% positive (5/6/12)
Washington Post: Selecting McDonnell as VP wouldn’t help Romney in Virginia (5/3/12)
Rasmussen: 58% in Virginia approve of McDonnell’s job performance (4/28/12)
Quinnipiac: Approval of Virginia governor, legislature drops, 53-32% approval (3/21/12)
Public Policy Polling: Cuccinelli has early lead over Bolling in GOP primary (12/13/11)
Quinnipiac: McDonnell extremely popular, boasts 62-22% job approval rating (9/14/11)
Public Policy Polling: McDonnell’s job approval 50-35 (5/10/11)
Washington Post: McDonnell scores a 62% job approval rating (5/1/11)
Roanoke College: McDonnell job approval 57%, Obama at 36% (12/21/10)
Clarus: McDonnell boasts 53-27% job approval rating (12/9/10)
Insider Advantage: Deeds trails by only four, 48-44 (9/24/09)
DailyKos/Research 2000: McDonnell maintaining lead, 50-43 (DailyKos, 9/18/09)
Rasmussen: Deeds, McDonnell now separated by two points (Rasmussen, 9/17/09)
Clarus Research: McDonnell’s lead narrows to five (National Journal, 9/15/09)
Rasmussen: McDonnell leads by nine, 51-42 (Rasmussen, 9/2/09)
PPP: Deeds closes gap to 49-42 (pdf) (Public Policy Polling, 9/1/09)
Washington Post: McDonnell up 47-40 (Washington Post, 8/16/09)
Research 2000: McDonnell ahead, 51-43 (DailyKos, 8/5/09)
PPP: McDonnell opens double digit lead, 51-37 (pdf) (Public Policy Polling, 8/4/09)
Rasmussen: McDonnell narrowly ahead, 44-41 (Rasmussen, 7/15/09)
PPP: McDonnell leads 49-43 (pdf) (Public Policy Polling, 7/7/09)
Research 2000: Deeds & McDonnell neck-and-neck (DailyKos, 6/17/09)
Another poll shows Deeds ahead (Political Wire, 6/17/09)

Local Blogs/Media:

Blue Commonwealth (progressive)
Blue Virginia (progressive)
Decision Virginia (news outlet Central VA)
Fake Virginia
New Dominion Project
Not Larry Sabato
The Richmond Report

Virginia Campaign Finance Info:
The Virginia Public Access Project (and some really cool election maps!)

Virginia Legislative News:
Richmond Sunlight

State Redistricting Organizations:
Virginia Redistricting Coalition

State Resources:
Virginia State Board of Elections

Primary Election Background:

Democrats:
Creigh Deeds
Terry McAuliffe
Brian Moran

Republicans:
Bob McDonnell

Pollster.com Democratic Primary Matchups