The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

800px-governors_by_party

Ohio

ohio-stamp Incumbent: John Kasich (R)

Primary Election: May 4, 2010
General Election: November 2, 2010

STATUS: Incumbent Running
RATING: Likely Democratic Retention

RECENT ELECTION RETURNS:
2002 Result: Taft wins 58%-38%
2006 Result:
Strickland wins 61%-37%


Ohio Gubernatorial Race: Headlines

Democrats:
Ted Strickland (i)  Web Site twitter YouTube facebook

Republicans:
John Kasich Web Site twitter YouTube facebook

State Resources:
Ohio SecState Elections

Local Online Resources:
The Buckeye Institute (free-market policy think tank)
Future of Ohio.org (education advocacy – OEA)
Plunderbund (progressive)

PollWatch:
Quinnipiac: Unknown Dem gains on Kasich, who holds a 44-37% lead over FitzGerald (11/26/13)
Public Policy Polling: Kasich, Mandel in real danger; Kasich job approval numbers at 37-42% (11/12/13)
Quinnipiac: Kasich job approval numbers reach new high; Leads FitzGerald 47-33% (6/25/13)
Quinnipiac: Big gender gap as Kasich leads 2014 Ohio gov race; leads Dem challengers in early look at 2014 race (4/18/13)
Quinnipiac: Kasich job approval hits all-time high (53%); leads Dem challengers in early look at ’14 race (2/28/13)
Quinnipiac: Ohio voters give Gov. Kasich first positive score, but there is little support for 4 more years (12/11/12)
Rasmussen: Kasich job approval continues improving, 56-38% (11/3/12)
Rasmussen: Kasich job approval inches up 53-41% (10/24/12)
Rasmussen: Kasich job approval at 50-42% (10/19/12)
Rasmussen: Kasich job approval inches up, 52-39% (10/12/12)
Rasmussen: Kasich job approval at 47-44% (10/7/12)
Rasmussen: Kasich job approval hits 50% (9/15/12)
Public Policy Polling: Kasich approval on the rise (8/15/12)
Rasmussen: Kasich job approval numbers continue to improve, now at 51-41% (8/13/12)
Quinnipiac: Kasich job approval improves to 47-38% (8/1/12)
Magellan (R): Kasich job approval at 41-42% (7/25/12)
Rasmussen: 47% of Ohio voters approve of Kasich’s job performance (7/20/12)
Public Policy Polling: Kasich job approval rating sinks to 40-48% (6/26/12)
Quinnipiac: Ohio voters more satisfied, but Kasich still has negative job rating, 41-44% (5/9/12)
Rasmussen: Kasich receives 44% job approval rating, Obama at 50% (2/11/12)
Public Policy Polling: Ohioans would re-do gubernatorial election, Strickland defeats Kasich by 20 points (2/7/12)
Univ of Akron Buckeye Poll: Still many undecided voters on both Issues 2 and 3 (10/28/11)
Quinnipiac: Kasich’s job approval numbers continue to fall, 36-52% negative (10/25/11)
Quinnipiac: Kasich’s job approval rating remains in negative territory, 40-49% (9/27/11)
Quinnipiac: Kasich’s approval rating continues to slide (7/20/11)
Public Policy Polling: Kasich’s approval rating slips further to 33-56% (5/25/11)
Quinnipiac: Kasich’s job approval rating remains negative, 38-49%; majority supports repeal of anti-union law (5/18/11)
Quinnipiac: Kasich job approval off to a dismal start; voters disapprove of his performance by 46-30% (3/23/11)
Ohio Poll: Kasich job approval at 40 percent; Ohioans weigh in on budget (3/14/11)
Quinnipiac: Voters wary of Kasich’s ‘no tax’ pledge, budget balancing proposals (1/19/11)
Dispatch Mail: Kasich by a hair, 49-47% (10/31/10)
Public Policy Polling: Gov contest a true toss-up, Kasich leads 49-48% (10/30/10)
Rasmussen: Kasich holds slim lead over Strickland, 48-44% (10/26/10)
CNN/TIME: Strickland pulls even – Strickland 48%, Kasich 47% (10/19/10)
Quinnipiac: Kasich holds 10-point lead, 51-41% (10/19/10)
Ohio Poll: Kasich expands lead over Strickland, 51-43% (10/15/10)
Rasmussen: Kasich holds narrow lead, 48-45% (10/11/10)
Quinnipiac: Strickland gains ground, but still trails Kasich, 50-41% (10/5/10)
Reuters/IPSOS: Race now a dead heat, Kasich 47%, Strickland 46% (9/28/10)
CBS/New York Times: Strickland, Kasich basically tied among likely voters, Kasich 43%, Strickland 42% (9/27/10)
Cincinnati Inquirer/Ohio Newspaper Poll: Kasich holds narrow edge, 49-45% (9/26/10)
FOX News/Pulse Opinion: Kasich holds slim lead, 48-43% (9/25/10)
Quinnipiac: Kasich opens double-digit lead, 54-37% (9/16/10)
CNN/TIME, Opinion Research: Kasich up by seven, 51-44% among likely voters (9/15/10)
Survey USA: Kasich leads by a dozen, 52-40% (9/13/10)
Rasmussen: Kasich leads by seven, 50-43% (9/13/10)
Rasmussen: Kasich maintains lead, 47-40% (8/30/10)
Rasmussen: Kasich widens lead over Strickland, 48-40 (8/16/10)
Rasmussen: Race becomes a toss-up, Kasich leads 45-42 (8/2/10)
Rasmussen: Kasich lead narrows, 48-43 (7/19/10)
Rasmussen: Kasich holds steady, leads 47-40 (6/29/10)
Quinnipiac: Strickland maintains slim lead over Kasich, 43-38 (6/29/10)
Public Policy Polling: Kasich holds slight lead, 43-41 (6/28/10)
Rasmussen: Kasich opens narrow lead, 47-42 (6/3/10)
Ohio Poll: Strickland holds narrow lead, 49-44 (5/11-5/20)
Rasmussen: Kasich, Strickland essentially tied, 46-45 (5/5/10)
Quinnipiac: Strickland holds narrow lead 44-38 (4/29/10)
DailyKos/Research 2000: Strickland leads Kasich, 45-40 (4/7/10)
Rasmussen: Strickland draws even with Kasich (3/30/10)
Public Policy Polling: Kasich leads Strickland, 42-37 (3/23/10)
Rasmussen: Kasich widens lead, 49-38 (3/8/10)
Quinnipiac: Strickland pulls ahead of Kasich, 44-39 (2/23/10)
Rasmussen: Kasich still leading, 47-41 (2/9/10)
Rasmussen: Kasich up 47-40 (1/14/10)
Rasmussen: Kasich even with Strickland (September 23, 2009)
Quinnipiac: Strickland’s job number improves, leads Kasich by ten, 46-36 (September 15, 2009)
Research 2000: Strickland leads Kasich by five (July 8, 2009)
Quinnipiac: Budget crisis taking toll on Strickland (June 09)
PPP: Economy hurting Strickland, close race with Kasich ahead? (pdf) (June 09)
Quinnipiac: Strickland well ahead of Kasich (May 09)