The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

800px-governors_by_party

Minnesota

minnesota-stampIncumbent: Mark Dayton (D)

Primary Election: September 14, 2010
General Election: November 2, 2010

STATUS: OPEN SEAT
RATING: Toss-Up

RECENT ELECTION RESULTS:
2002 Result: Pawlenty wins 44%-36%.
2006 Result:
Pawlenty wins 47%-46%.

Minnesota Gubernatorial Race: Headlines

Democrats:
Tom Bakk Web Site
Mark Dayton Web Site twitter
Matt Entenza Web Site twitter YouTube
Susan Gaertner Web Site
Steve Kelley
Web Site
Margaret Kelliher
Web Site
John Marty
Web Site
Doug Peterson
Tom Rukavina
Web Site
R.T. Rybak
Web Site Twitter YouTube
Paul Thissen Web Site

Republicans (italicized names have not officially entered the race):
Pat Anderson Web Site Twitter
Norm Coleman
Tom Emmer
Web Site
Bill Haas
David Hann
Web Site Twitter
Mike Jungbauer
Web Site
Paul Koering Web Site
Paul Kohls Web Site Twitter
Carol Molnau
Marty Seifert
Web Site Twitter
Steve Sviggum

Local Media/Blogs:
David Trinh
MNPublius
Politics in Minnesota

State Resources;
Minnesota SecState Election Center

PollWatch:
Public Policy Polling: Franken and Dayton ahead of opponents heading into 2014 re-elections (10/31/13)
Public Policy Polling: Dayton job approval holds steady, 48-37% approval (9/12/12)
Public Policy Polling: Dayton among nation’s more popular governors, with 53-34% job approval numbers (1/27/12)
Survey USA: Guber contest a dead heat, Dayton 39%, Emmer 38%, Horner 13% (10/27/10)
Rasmussen: Dayton holds slim lead – Dayton 44%, Emmer 40%, Horner 10% (10/20/10)
Survey USA: Dayton holds slight lead, Dayton 42%, Emmer 37%, Horner 14% (10/15/10)
Rasmussen: Dayton, Emmer race close  - Dayton 40%, Emmer 38%, Horner 15% (10/6/10)
MPR/Humphrey Institute: Dayton opens significant lead, Dayton 38%, Emmer 27%, Horner 16% (9/26/10)
Minnesota Poll: Dayton holds slight lead, Horner moves up – Dayton 39%, Emmer, 30%, Horner 18%, Don’t Know 12% (9/26/10)
Survey USA: Dayton, Emmer tied, Horner support grows – Dayton 38%, Emmer 36%, Horner 18% (9/14/10)
MPR/Humphrey Institute: Dayton, Emmer deadlocked at 34%, Horner at 13% (8/31/10)
Rasmussen: Emmer slips further behind all DFL candidates (7/19/10)
Survey USA: Dayton leads DFL primary, all are in tight matchups with Emmer (6/16/10)
Decision Resources: Emmer now trails all three DFL candidates (6/2/10)
Rasmussen: In three-way contest, November a toss-up any way you look at it (5/24/10)
MPR/Humphrey Institute: Dayton leads DFL pack, strongest against Emmer (5/19/10)
Survey USA: Emmer leads all potential Democratic rivals (5/6/10)
Rasmussen: Crowded field shows wide open races in both parties (3/11/10)
PPP: Coleman hurt by drawnout recount (pdf) (July 9. 2009)