The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

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Florida

florida-stampfloridaIncumbent: Rick Scott (R)

Primary Election: August 24, 2010
General Election: November 2, 2010

STATUS: OPEN SEAT
RATING: Toss-Up

RECENT ELECTION RESULTS:
2002 Result: Bush wins 56%-43%.
2006 Result: Crist wins 52%-45%.

Florida Gubernatorial Race: Headlines

Democrats:
Michael Arth       Web Site twitter facebook
Farid Khavari Web Site
Alex Sink Web Site twitter facebook

Republicans (italicized names are unofficial candidates):
Paula Dockery Web Site YouTube facebook (draft movement)
Josue Larose Web Site
Bill McCollum Web Site facebook

Rick Scott

Florida organizations:
Fair Districts Florida (redistricting advocates)

Local Media/blogs:
Florida Politics (daily Sunshine State news from a progressive perspective)

State Resources:
Florida Elections Division

PollWatch:
Quinnipiac: Rick Scott starts re-election year trailing Crist 47-40% (11/21/13)
Public Policy Polling: Crist continues to lead Scott, 50-38%; Scott job approval at 33-55% (10/1/13)
Quinnipiac: Crist, Sink top Scott in Florida race; voters back ‘Stand Your Ground’ (3/20/13)
Public Policy Polling: Scott trails Crist by 12 points (3/19/13)
Public Policy Polling: Scott in a very bad position, approval rating only at 33% (1/16/13)
Quinnipiac: Florida voters dislike Scott and want a new gov; Crist, Sink are best-known challengers (12/19/12)
ClearView Research: Crist holds 25 point lead over Sink in Dem primary match-up (12/13/12)
Rasmussen: Gov. Scott’s job approval number floats at midpoint, 49-47% (10/20/12)
Rasmussen: Rick Scott job approval number slips into negative 47-48% (10/15/12)
Rasmussen: Rick Scott job approval rating jumps to 54-41% (10/8/12)
Rasmussen: Scott job approval rating remains in negative territory, 43-51% (9/16/12)
Schroth Eldon: Dem primary matchup – Alex Sink 31%, Charlie Crist 29%, Shriver 8%, Gelber 3% (9/11/12)
Rasmussen: Scott job approval rating still ‘underwater,’ 42-51% (8/17/12)
Public Policy Polling: Crist in good position to reclaim governorship (8/10/12)
Tampa Bay Times/Miami Herald: Scott job approval rating remain underwater, 40-51% (7/15/12)
Public Policy Polling: Scott’s job approval rating still dismal, 31-56% (6/5/12)
Quinnipiac: Scott job approval remains low, 38-50% (1/10/12)
Public Policy Polling: Scott job performance worst in nation, 26-58% (12/6/11)
Rasmussen: Likely voters give Gov. Scott a negative job approval rating, 42-51% (11/21/11)
Sunshine State News: Scott’s job approval numbers remain abysmal, 27-58% (7/13/11)
Public Policy Polling: If election were re-run, Sink and Crist would rout Rick Scott (6/28/11)
Quinnipiac: Florida voters disapprove of Scott’s job performance, 57-29% (5/25/11)
Suffolk U: Scott viewed as ‘negative and damaging’ by 41% of Florida voters (4/13/11)
Quinnipiac: Scott’s job approval rating plummets, stands at 35%-48% (4/6/11)
Public Policy Polling: Scott’s popularity plummets – would lose a rematch against Sink (3/29/11)
Quinnipiac: FL voters say wait and see on new governor; skeptical about no-tax pledge (2/2/11)
U South Florida: Scott edges ahead of Sink, 44-39% (10/30/10)
Quinnipiac: Sink holds slim lead over Scott, 45-41% (10/28/10)
Mason-Dixon: Sink opens slim lead, 46-43% (10/28/10)
Rasmussen: Scott holds slim lead over Sink (10/27/10)
Sunshine State News (Tracking): Scott, Sink  in dead heat, tied at 45% (10/20/10)
CNN/TIME: Scott leads Sink, 49-46% (10/19/10)
Suffolk U: Sink holds 7-point lead over Scott, 45-37% (10/18/10)
Sunshine State News (Tracking): Sink pulls ahead of Scott, 48-45% (10/15/10)
Public Policy Polling: Sink clings to 5-point lead over Scott, 46-41% (10/13/10)
Quinnipiac: Scott leads Sink, 49-43% (10/1/10)
Rasmussen: Scott holds slight lead over Sink, 46-41% (9/30/10)
CNN/Time/Opinion Research: Sink has seven point lead, 49-42% (9/7/10)
Rasmussen: Sink, Scott in dead heat after Chiles’ withdrawal (9/1/10)
Rasmussen: Scott 41, Sink 36, Chiles 8 (8/25/10)
PPP: Scott holds narrow lead in final days, 47-40 (8/22/10)
Quinnipiac: McCollum regains lead over Scott, 44-35 (8/16/10)
Ipsos: Scott holds 10-point lead over McCollum, 42-32; Democrat Sink competitive in general election (8/14/10)
Tarrance Group: McCollum leads Scott, 44-40 (8/13/10)
Quinnipiac: Chiles hits mid-teens, Sink tied with either Republican (7/30/10)
Quinnipiac: Scott holds lead over McCollum, 43-32 (7/29/10)
Public Policy Polling: Sink rises, leads Scott 36-30; McCollum 37-23 (7/21/10)
Reuters/IPSOS: McCollum trails Sink, Scott & Sink tied; many undecided (7/13/10)
Rasmussen: Scott now stronger GOP candidate against Sink (7/7/10)
McLaughlin (R) (McCollum internal) Scott, McCollum tied at 40% (6/11/10)
Quinnipiac: Scott leads McCollum in GOP primary, 44-31 (6/10/10)
Quinnipiac: McCollum leads Sink, 42-34 – Wide swing against offshore drilling (6/9/10)
Rasmussen: Scott competitive in general election, leads Sink 45-40 (6/7/10)
IPSOS: Sink, McCollum tied in general, McCollum holds big lead over Scott in primary (5/20/10)
Rasmussen: Scott shakes up race – looks competitive against Sink (5/16/10)
Quinnipiac: Sink within four, 40-36 (4/19/10)
Rasmussen: Governor’s race tightens, McCollum up 45-38 (4/15/10)
 Rasmussen: McCollumm expands lead – 47-36 – over Sink (3/18/10)
Daily Kos/Research 2000: McCollum leads Sink 41-35 (3/17/10)
Public Policy  Polling: McCollum holds 13 point lead over Sink (3/12/10)
Rasmussen: McCollum up over Sink, 48-35 (2/23/10)
Quinnipiac: McCollum opens ten-point lead, 41-21 (1/27/10)
Quinnipiac: McCollum moves ahead of Sink by four, 38-34 (August 19, 2009)
Rasmussen: McCollum leads by 8 (6/25/09)