The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

800px-governors_by_party

Colorado

colorado-stampIncumbent: John Hickenlooper (D)

Primary Election: August 10, 2010
General Election: November 2, 2010

STATUS: OPEN SEAT
RATING: Lean Democratic Retention

Recent Election Results:
2002 Result: Owens wins 63%-34%.
2006 Result:
Ritter wins 57%-40%.

Colorado Gubernatorial Race: Headlines

Democrats:
John Hickenlooper

Republicans:
George Brauchler
Scott Gessler
Tom Tancredo

Local Blogs:
ColoradoPols
Colorado Statesman (nonpartisan)
Face the State (“Colorado’s Front Page”)
Rocky Mountain Right (conservative)
Square State (progressive)

PollWatch:
Quinnipiac: Hickenlooper gets low grades on guns, death penalty; good grades on economy; Only 45% say he deserves re-election (8/23/13)
Quinnipiac: Colorado voters oppose recall effort by wide margin (8/22/13)
Quinnipiac: Early look shows close governor’s race in 2014 (6/13/13)
Public Policy Polling: Hickenlooper boasts 53-44% job approval; leads all potential challengers by double digits (4/18/13)
Rasmussen: Hickenlooper job approval numbers remain sky high,65-30% (11/1/12)
Rasmussen: Hickenlooper maintains high job rating, 62-28% (10/22/12)
Rasmussen: Hickenlooper boasts strong job approval number, 60-33% (10/8/12)
Public Policy Polling: Hickenlooper one of most popular govs in America, job approval at 60-26% (6/20/12)
Public Policy Polling: Hickenlooper 2nd most popular gov in America, boasting 53-23% job approval (12/8/11)
Rasmussen: Tancredo pulls into a tight race, Hick 47%, Tancredo 42%, Maes 5% (10/28/10)
Magellen Strategies: Tancredo closes the gap – Hick 44%, Tancredo 43%, Maes 9% (10/22/10)
Reuters/IPSOS: Hickenlooper leads Tancredo by double-digits, Hick 46%, Tanc 35%, Maes 14% (10/19/10)
Pulse Opinion/Fox News: Tancredo pulls within five, Hickenlooper 45%, Tancredo 40%, Maes 10% (10/16/10)
Rasmussen: Tancredo surging – Hickenlooper 42%, Tancredo 38%, Maes 12% (10/14/10)
Rasmussen: Tancredo passes Maes – Hickenlooper 43%, Tancredo 35%, Maes 16% (10/3/10)
Rasmussen: Everyone loses support, Hickenlooper 36, Maes 24, Tancredo 14 (8/29/10)
Reuters/IPSOS: Hickenlooper leads 41, Maes 33, Tancredo 16 (8/25/10)
Rasmussen: Hickenlooper leads 3-way contest – Hick 43, Maes 31, Tancredo 18 (8/11/10)
Rasmussen: Tancredo entry destroys both GOP contenders; Hickenlooper leads three-way contest with 44% of vote (8/2/10)
Survey USA: McInnis’ plagiarism story bleeds support, Tancredo top choice among GOP alternatives (7/15/10)
Rasmussen: Hickenlooper has narrow leads over McInnis, Maes (7/15/10)
Denver Post/News 9: McInnis far ahead in GOP primary, Hickenlooper in tight race with both GOPers (6/20/10)
Rasmussen: McInnis lead steady, 46-41 (6/14/10)
Public Policy Polling: Hick and Mac tied at 44 (5/20/10)
Rasmussen: McInnis maintains 6-point advantage (5/11/10)
Rasmussen: McInnis holds slight edge over Hick, 48-42 (4/14/10)
Public Policy Polling: Hickenlooper starts out ahead of McInnis (3/10/10)
Rasmussen: McInnis slightly ahead of Hickenlooper (3/8/10)
Rasmussen: Hickenlooper up 49-45 over McInnis (2/8/10)
Rasmussen: Ritter trails McInnis (September 9, 2009)
Public Policy Polling: Ritter job approval drops into negative territory, 40-45 (pdf) (August 20, 2009)

State Resources:
Colorado SecState Elections