The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

800px-governors_by_party

Arizona

arizona-stampIncumbent: Jan Brewer (R) – Running for Election

Primary Election: August 24, 2010 (early voting starts 7/29)
General Election: November 2, 2010 (earlyvoting starts 9/30)

STATUS: Incumbent Running for Election *
RATING: Toss-up

RECENT ELECTION RESULTS:
2002 Result: Napolitano wins 46%-45%.
2006 Result: Napolitano wins 63%-35%

* Brewer is one of the nation’s six incumbent governors who was not elected to their current post. Her ascension represents the only occasion of the six (AK, NY, IL, KS and UT) that resulted in a party switch. A Republican Lt. Governor, she replaced Democratic Governor Janet Napolitano upon her elevation to Secretary of Homeland Security on the second day of the Obama Administration.

Arizona Gubernatorial Race: Headlines

Democrats (italicized names are not declared candidates):
Terry Goddard    Web Site

Republicans (italicized names are not declared candidates):
Jan Brewer (i) Web Site facebook YouTube twitter flickr
Robert Graham       Web Site facebook YouTube twitter
Matt Jette Web Site facebook twitter

Karen S. Johnson Web Site
Hugh Kealer Web Site
Dean Martin   Web Site facebook twitter
Roy Miller

Buz Mills Web Site

John Munger          Web Site
Tim Willis Web Site

Local Blogs/Media:
Seeing Red Arizona (conservative)

Local State Resources:
Arizona Sec State Election Info

Local advocacy
Arizona Economic Council

PollWatch:
Rasmussen: Brewer job approval number improves, 50-44% (10/25/12)
Rasmussen: Arizona voters evenly divided on Brewer, 49-49% (9/26/12)
Public Policy Polling: Brewer favorable ratings underwater at 43-48% (6/19/12)
Rasmussen: Brewer receives high job approval numbers, 56-41% (2/6/12)
Public Policy Polling: Voters split on Brewer’s job performance, 46%-45% approve (5/5/11)
Rasmussen: Brewer maintains wide lead, 53-39% (10/28/10)
Daily Kos/ PPP: Brewer leads Goddard, 52-44% (10/24/10)
Rasmussen: Brewer maintains large lead over Goddard, 55-39% (10/3/10)
Rasmussen: Brewer maintains wide lead, 60-38% (9/7/10)
Rasmussen: Brewer maintains wide lead over Goddard, 57-38% (8/25/10)
Rasmussen: Brewer’s lead continues to grow, 56-37 (7/21/10)
Rasmussen: Brewer’s lead grows to 53-38 (6/29/10)
Rasmussen: Brewer has commanding lead in GOP primary with 61% of vote (6/16/10)
Rasmussen: Brewer’s lead over Goddard grows to 52-39 (5/17/10)
Rasmussen: Brewer now holds commanding lead with 45% of GOP primary vote (5/17/10)
Research 2000/Daily Kos: Goddard leads all GOPers; Brewer closest at 48-42 (5/5/10)
Rocky Mtn Poll: Support for new immigration law at 52%, splits Arizonans along partisan, ethnic lines (5/4/10)
PPP: Brewer leads GOP primary – unless Arpaio runs (4/30/10)
Rasmussen: Brewer gets immigration law bounce, leads Goddard 48-40 (4/27/10)
PPP: Goddard holds slight lead over Brewer, 47-44 (4/27/10)
Rasmussen: Brewer leads crowded GOP primary with 26% of vote (4/13/10)
Rasmussen: Goddard leads 2, trails 2 potential GOP nominees (3/23/10)
PPP: Goddard leads all potential GOP candidates (pdf) (September 23, 2009)
Rasmussen: Brewer job rating takes hit over budget, economy (July 27, 2009)

Republicans Debate at Citizens Clean Elections Commission: