The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

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Jun
09

CA: Meg’s Registration Disadvantage

By · Jun, 09 2010

Golden State Democrats continue expanding their voter registration advantage over the GOP. Data released by the Secretary of State’s office revealed 44.5% of registered voters have declared themselves Democrats (up from 42.7% in 2006), 30.8% registered as Republicans (a big slide from the 34.4% in ’06), while DTS (decline to state) voters rose to 20.2% from 18.5%.

That registration gap is going to be very difficult for Meg Whitman to overcome, especially after she served so far to the right on immigration during the primary battle with Steve Poizner. Considering she spent an estimated $80-$90 million to garner 1.1 million GOP primary votes, she’s probably looking at dipping into her Cayman Island bank accounts for at least another $125 million for the general election. That was originally what MegaBucks had indicated she was willing to spend to win, but it’s clear she’ll exceed that in the coming months as Jerry Brown and Democratic-allied groups gear up their attack ads.

With voters approving the “Top-Two Open Primary” system by voter initiative yesterday, it will be interesting to see if voter preferences change. My gut says voters will be more inclined to decline a party ID even though DTS voters had previously been able to pick and choose which primary they’d like to vote in each election year.

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