The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

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Sep
25

PollWatch (VA): Insider Adv – Democrats Coming Home to Deeds

By · Sep, 25 2009

Politico reports on an Insider Advantage/Majority Opinion Research poll conducted Wednesday night showing a race that was once moving toward a comfortable Republican win closing to a pure toss-up. While Republican Bob McDonnell maintains a four-point lead, he falls below 50% and unlike in most earlier polls has weaker party support than his Democratic rival Creigh Deeds.

 

Virginia Gubernatorial Polling
  Overall GOP Dems Indies
McDonnell 47.9 79.4 7.9 54.9
Deeds 44.2 12.1 88.7 33.3
Other 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.6
Not Sure 7.3 7.6 3.2 11.2

It looks like the negative news reports surrounding McDonnell’s twenty-year old master’s thesis have invigorated a previously non-commital Democratic base around Deeds’ candidacy.

Perhaps there are larger forces driving these partisan numbers? Pollsters have been talking about a Democratic “enthusiasm gap” as the conservative base has been riled up all summer long, tea bagging and shouting across the nation’s television screens. If this poll holds true through election day, might it be an indication of a progressive backlash?

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Categories : Open Seats, Polls, Virginia

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