The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

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Jul
31

Rudy: NY GOP’s Arrested Development

By · Jul, 31 2009

Rudy Giuliani – never a truly popular figure among Empire State Republicans – continues antagonizing the party leadership. The Daily News has a primer on the relationship’s tumultuous past and Hizzoner’s most recent comments, criticizing the party’s state of arrested development:

“There is no question that if you have to rely on George Pataki and me, you are in deep trouble,” the former mayor told a Crain’s NY Business Breakfast forum when asked why he (for governor) and Pataki (for U.S. Senate) remain among the only big GOP names gaining much traction for statewide office.

“I am joking, but there is some wisdom (there),” he added. “We should be moving forward with dynamic new candidates, but the party at some point stopped developing.”

National pollsters keep measuring Governor David Paterson against Giuliani in hypothetical 2010 matchups, but making comments like these don’t indicate Rudy is serious about running.  It’s not exactly the recommended approach to mending fences if you’re planning a gubernatorial run.

Although Mayor “A Noun, A Verb, and 9/11” does have a point. Considering the incumbent’s abysmal job approval numbers, the fact only one Republican – former Rep. Rick Lazio - has stated an intention to run at this point indicates a weakened state party. For it’s part, the party leadership partially blames America’s Mayor for it’s current predicament.

Republican leaders were furious with him for crossing party lines to endorse Democratic Gov. Mario Cuomo over then-Sen. Pataki in 1994 – to the point that former Senate Majority Leader Joe Bruno called the mayor “Judas”.

Republicans privately grumble that Giuliani never really did much for the state party, noting that the $500,000 he pledged to help them raise in 2008 never materialized.

So, while national forecasters might relish a Rudy for Governor campaign, it appears to be a pretty long shot. Rudy doesn’t even give himself very good odds, telling the Daily News:

“The only way I could get elected governor is the way I got elected mayor — things have to be so bad….”

“I got elected mayor, I believe, on the theory of — it can’t get worse,” Giuliani said. “So if it gets to that point, maybe I’ll decide.” 

“If I thought I could make a real difference in the state, really change things…then I would do it,” he added.

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