The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

800px-governors_by_party
Jul
31

It Was Only a Matter of Time

By · Jul, 31 2009

Before the political cognoscenti finally realized how much trouble Jon Corzine’s reelection chances were in. CQ Politics has changed it’s rating on the race from “Toss-Up” to Leans Republican. Was it the endless stream of polls showing deep dissatisfaction with Corzine in the Garden State or was it the unprecedented corruption arrests that finally tipped the scales? With rumors swirling about NJ Democratic insiders lobbying for a last-minute replacement in the race (it’s been done in NJ before!), I wonder if the voters in Blue Jersey have gotten comfortable enough with the idea of voting for Chris Christie that ditching the unpopular governor might be a wasted effort.

As to whether this is a harbinger of things to come for other governors in 2010, I’ve long asserted Corzine is the canary in the coal mine. If the economy doesn’t appreciaby improve in the next four to six months, practically every incumbent governor will have a serious reelection challenge next November.

Bookmark and Share

Leave a Reply