The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

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Jun
27

Empire State Update

By · Jun, 27 2009

Advisor says former Rep. Rick Lazio “fully intends” to run for governor.

One has to admire his bravado. Considering the GOP’s endangered species status in New York, any Republican eyeing a statewide race is looking at a steep challenge. But Lazio’s previous performance under the bright lights (Hillary Clinton’s easier-than-anticipated victory in the 2000 Senate race) hasn’t dissuaded him from considering a return engagement.

Despite Democratic dominance in the state, could Gov David Paterson’s dismal poll numbers provide Republicans a chance to recapture the Governor’s Mansion?  Quinnipiac has another set out showing NY voters disapprove of the incumbent’s performance by 61-28 and trails AG Andrew Cuomo 57-20 in a potential Democratic primary matchup.

In a general election matchup, Cuomo leads the potential Republican Rudy Giuliani (who is not a candidate at this point), 51-39, while Paterson is trounced by the former NY mayor, 52-34.

I’ve written previously that Paterson might be able to begin a rehabilitation by becoming the leader who resolved the state Senate’s stalemate. The Republicans challengers would prefer voters view them as the politicians who can end the gridlock. Hoping to seize the leadership mantle, both Giuliani and Lazio are calling for a state constitutional convention to restructure state government. If Paterson doesn’t resolve this quickly, the Republicans’ 2010 odds improve.

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