The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

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Jun
12

PollWatch: Trouble Brewing in Wisconsin?

By · Jun, 12 2009

Research 2000 surveyed Wisconsin voters (June 8-10) for DailyKos and while incumbent Democrat Jim Doyle is slightly ahead in the hypothetical matchups, there are some worrisome numbers for the two-term governor. His approval numbers – like Democratic incumbents in NY, NJ & MA – at 43-48 are abysmal. Despite these horrific personal numbers, he currently leads potential GOP rivals, except for former Gov Tommy Thompson:

Jim Doyle (D-inc)  48
Scott Walker (R)   36
Undecided          16

Jim Doyle (D-inc)  49
Mark Neumann (R)   35
Undecided          16

Jim Doyle (D-inc)  45
Tommy Thompson (R) 47
Undecided           8

Whether or not Doyle runs for a third term remains an open question. The same poll shows the anti-Doyle sentiment has not affected the Democratic brand, as Lt. Gov Barbara Lawton maintains a healthy favorable/unfavorable rating of 54-36. Perhaps Doyle’s strength is simply a manifestation of the utter disintegration of the GOP brand in the (former?) swing state of Wisconsin, as Lawton matches up nearly as well against the GOP contenders:

Barbara Lawton (D) 44
Scott Walker (R)   35
Undecided          21

Barbara Lawton (D) 43
Mark Neumann (R)   35
Undecided          22

Barbara Lawton (D) 44
Tommy Thompson (R) 46
Undecided          10

These numbers beg the question: might Democrats have an easier job of retaining the Wisconsin governorship if Doyle opts out of a re-election contest?

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