The State Houses – What’s At Stake in 2010

Thirty-nine states will be electing a governor during the 2009-2010 election cycle. Of these, eighteen races will not include an incumbent and four incumbents who will be running were not elected to their current position. The recession and huge budget deficits threaten to undercut the power of incumbency for governors running for reelection.

The Current Line-Up

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Jun
06

David Plouffe to Rescue Deval?

By · Jun, 06 2009

The recent news that David Plouffe has signed on to Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick’s re-election campaign was announced by some newsreaders on the cable teevee “news” coverage with a shrug and a comment, “How difficult is it for a Democrat to win in Massachusetts?” Clearly not aware that Patrick was not only the first African American to win in Massachusetts history, he was the first Democrat to win the Governor’s corner office since the days of Mike Dukakis.

Patrick’s approval ratings have plummeted at a rate that would cause any incumbent heartburn. When Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEight ranked gubernatorial power ratings, Patrick emerged very near the bottom of the list. This is why I question most national prognosticators listing the 2010 Massachusetts governors race as SAFE. Granted, it’s hard to see a credible Republican emerging to challenge the incumbent. But, what about another Democrat mounting a serious primary challenge?

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